Leverage Factor
Current nuclear non-proliferation programs cost $3b-6b/year (Solutions to the World's Biggest Problems, Bjorn Lomborg, 2007, pp. 209).
Project | Cost | Real world outcome | Outcome estimates | Economic value in Western terms |
---|---|---|---|---|
Nuclear non-proliferatioon | $3-6b/year | 65k-520k lives saved/year | Guess have a 25-50% effectiveness at reducing a 2-4% chance/year of the loss of 500k-1m life equivalents (Rogue state scenario) and a 0.5-1.0% chance/year of the loss of 50m-100m life equivalents (India-Pakistan, Russia-US) | $130b-1t/year |
Leverage Factor
20 - 300